4/11/2022

Deck Estimator Blackjack

Free

Deck Estimator Blackjack Free

Use the Wizard's calculator to calculate these 4 hands, all ONE DECK, DEALER HITS SOFT 17 and all versus a dealer's 10: A-7 vs 10, A-5-2 vs 10, A-3-3-A vs 10 and A-2-2-2-A vs 10. You will see see, using the Wiz's own calc, that the Basic strategy of HITTING a soft 18 against a 10 is optimal for the first two hands but that STANDING on soft 18. This calculator is a variation of the return & variance calculator. It includes all the functions of the standard calc, along with an hours of play estimate. Only blackjack is supported at this time. The player speed input and software selection pulldown are used to estimate your rate of play. For instance, a 6 deck game that is cutting off 1 deck of cards could be expressed as “1 deck of pen” or “83% Pen” because 83% of the cards will be dealt out before the shuffle. Below is a comparison chart of a standard 6 deck game of blackjack using a 1 to 12 spread and a $15,000 bankroll.

Deck Estimator Blackjack Classic

I'm using Hi-Lo lite, dividing by half decks remaining to convert to the true count.
When playing a six deck shoe during the first 3 decks I don't bother trying half deck accuracy; ie, I just divide by double the whole number of decks remaining or 12, 10, 8, 6 during the first 3 decks. When 3.5 decks have been played I then revert to half deck accuracy, dividing by 5, 4, 3, and possibly getting to 2 if only one deck is cut off.
An observation I've made is that (with the retired casino cards I'm using to practice) is that they get fluffy to where each deck expands about 1/8' after being used for a while. Does anyone try to compensate for this when converting to the true count?
Another observation is that 3.5 decks is about a quarter deck less than the width of my practice cards. 4 decks is about a quarter deck higher than the width my practice cards. 5 decks is about a quarter deck less than the height of my practice cards. In other words the stack would be about 'square' when 5 decks have been played. Does anyone know if this is roughly close enough for any card manufacturer?
Has anyone else noticed this and used it to help estimate the dealt decks? Using the width and height of the cards as a measuring stick to estimate decks played?
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